Kód: 17870667
Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leaderships Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future forecasting. This book is e ... celý popis
Angličtina
6442 Kč

Potřebujete více kusů?Máte-li zájem o více kusů, prověřte, prosím, nejprve dostupnost titulu na naši zákaznické podpoře.
Nákupem získáte 644 bodů
Anotace knihy
Clearly, concisely, and with many examples from public and private enterprise, Upgrading Leaderships Crystal Ball shows why predictions are usually wrong and presents a better way to look at the future forecasting. This book is essential-reading for anyone who needs to make the best possible strategic decisions for moving an organization forward in todays rapidly changing environment.Dr. Bauer supplies an insightful comparison of the two mainstream approaches for looking ahead. Although predicting and forecasting are usually used as synonyms for a single process, they are conceptually and methodologically quite different. He explains why everyday failure to operationalize these differences robs us of power to envision and pursue good futures, especially when we are headed in the wrong direction. Readers will learn the real-world value of distinguishing between predicting (extrapolating historical trends) and forecasting (estimating the probabilities of possibilities). Following a description of predictive modeling and a discussion of five reasons why it fails so often in current applications, Dr. Bauer explains the superiority of forecasting and how to do it. To complete readers understanding of the many compelling reasons for making the shift from predicting to forecasting, Upgrading Leaderships Crystal Ball presents a practical approach to strategic planning in unpredictable times. It concludes with an analysis of the future of big data and its likely impact on the future.Dr. Bauer is uniquely qualified to write this important book; he is trained in both predicting (economics) and forecasting (meteorology). Author of more than 250 publications, he is internationally recognized not only for long-term success in foretelling the future of medical science and health care, but also for successful innovations to create a better delivery system. This book distills the lessons garnered over his 40 ye
Parametry knihy
Zařazení knihy Knihy v angličtině Technology, engineering, agriculture Technology: general issues Engineering: general
6442 Kč
Angličtina
Osobní odběr Praha, Brno a 48486 dalších
Copyright ©2008-26 nejlevnejsi-knihy.cz Všechna práva vyhrazenaSoukromíCookies
Vrácení do měsíce
571 999 099 (8-15.30h)Nákupní košík ( prázdný )